Saturday, December 13, 2025

Weekly Report --- December 13, 2025

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – December 13, 2025

 

USA corn prices finished the week down by about USD 2 m/t with soybeans slipping lower down by about USD 11 m/t with soymeal dropping by about USD 5 m/t. USA winter wheat moved lower by about USD 5 m/t with Us spring wheat almost unchanged for the week.

 

Corn prices slipped lower as the week ended, even good export sales couldn’t keep prices steady. There has not been much news for corn that will move markets ---- all is finished pretty well for corn in the northern hemisphere with the next news on the world corn situation expected from South America. Expert say that corn will probably be in a narrow trading range for a bit.

 

Soybeans were weaker again this week even with quite good export sales. The market seems to be concerned about China’s soybean buying and the large world supply of soybeans. If China doesn’t buy as many soybeans as expected/committed then prices should continue week. Trade reports say that soymeal prices would have been even lower except for good new sales to Mexico.

 

US winter wheat prices moved lower on good supplies and, for now, good winter weather for the 2026 winter wheat crop. US wheat exports still look very good and competitive in a number of markets. US wheat exports could be up by 9% for 2025 overall.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$42.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$39.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Steady

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$56.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$49.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$56.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$55.00

Down $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$42.00

Steady

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$44.00

Down $1.00

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$28.00

Down $2.00

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$30.00

Down $1.00

US PNW China: Panamax

$29.00

Down $1.00

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$59.00

Up $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$65.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$44.00

Down $1.00

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$44.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$52.00

Down $1.00

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$40.00

Up $3.00

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$40.00

Up $3.00

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$38.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$39.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$53 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Bangladesh: Panamax

$45 Russia

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$21 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $23

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $18

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$31 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$30 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$31 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$38.00

Down $7.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$58.00

Down $5.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2727

Down 522

Baltic Capesize Index

3706

Down 1377

Baltic Panamax Index

1688

Down 149

Baltic Supramax Index

1371

Down 65

Baltic Handisize Index

805

Down 36

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

1927

Down 14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR January 2026/March 2026

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 235<<238 Apr

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 236<<239 Apr   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Apr

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Apr

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<235 Apr   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 227/230 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 215<<220 Apr

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 220<<225 Apr     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 235/238

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/228

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 230/235

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 210 flat to Apr

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 225 flat to Apr  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 215>>200 Apr   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 225 flat to Apr

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 228/231 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 225<<230 Apr

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 215<<220 Apr

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 215<<220 Apr

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 195<<200 Apr

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 220<<225 Apr

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 360<<365 Apr  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 390<<395 Apr  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 345>>330 Apr   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 340>>325 Apr

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 430<<435 Apr 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 415>>400 Apr

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 440>>410 Apr

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 420<<425 Apr

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 590>>585

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 225>>220

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 235>>230

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

North/Central catch in Peru was at 64,000 m/t this week bringing the total catch to 1.032 million m/t which leaves 598,000 m/t on the quota. Th number of vessels dropped from over 300 to around 200. Southern Peru fishing was at just over 10,000 m/t landed bringing the total of 66,800 m/t and the remaining quota to 184,200 m/t --- only about 10 vessels fishing.

 

The fishing industry in Peru seems very confident that the full North/Central quota will be landed --- this should set up a good year for fishmeal in 2026.

 

Estimated fishmeal sales are now up to 290,000 m/t showing about 60,000 m/t sold more than the production to date. Producers are said to be holding back on further sales until they have a little more fishmeal in hand.

 

There has been a little adjustment in Peru export prices between grades with Super Prime rallying  while prices in China for the  Super Prime grade also remain strong while other grades are showing slightly lower levels.

 

 

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1800

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2485

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$2210

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$2250

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2540

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1970/1990

 

   66% protein 120 TVN

2010/2030

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

2050/2070

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

2150/2170

2170/2190

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

2190/2210

2220/2240

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

2260/2280

2270/2290

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

3400/3500

3200/3300

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

4,100/4,300

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon