Sunday, March 30, 2025

Weekly Report --- March 29, 2025

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT -- March 29, 2025

 

New crop corn prices dropped by about USD 5 m/t this week while old crop corn prices moved higher by USD 5 m/t --- as usually happens as we come to the end of the old crop with an anticipation of a great new crop number.

 

US new crop soybeans were up by about USD 7 m/t with soymeal also up by USD 7 m/t.

 

US wheat had a tough week with winter wheat down by about USD 14 m/t and spring wheat down by close to USD 10 m/t.

 

Monday will see the USDA issue its Quarterly Stock Report with estimates that corn stocks will be lower than last year while soybeans are expected to be slightly above last year and wheat stocks are also expected to be a little higher. Of course, Monday is also the day for the USDA Prospective Plantings Report.

 

And, on top of all this April 02 is Trump Tariff Day unless some agreements can be reached that could change the application of tariffs. In the EU everyone has been working very hard to change the EU government’s mind on the possible application of reciprocal tariffs on imports of US grains, oilseeds and proteins.

 

Exciting days ahead!!!!!

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$30.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$31.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$31.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$32.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$47.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$37.00

Down $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$50.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$42.00

Up $1.00

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$35.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$36.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$51.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$30 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$12 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$30 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$26 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$18 Russia

Ukraine $39

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $51

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$39 Russia

Ukraine $70

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$15 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$21.00

Down $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$34.00

Down $1.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1602

Down 41

Baltic Capesize Index

2472

Down 204

Baltic Panamax Index

1497

Up 122

Baltic Supramax Index

995

Down 17

Baltic Handisize Index

614

Up 18

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2020

Down 51

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR April 2025/June 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 227<<231 July

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 249<<258 July   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>230 July

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 255>>245 July

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 245>>235 July   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 237>>225 July      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 245<<250 July

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 235>>225 July      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 230/235

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 245/250

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 210 flat to July 

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 225 flat to July  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 215>>205 July   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 220>>200 July

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 232/235 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 235<<240 July

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<235 July

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235<<240 July

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 225<<230 July

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 210<<215 July

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 335<<345 July  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 360<<370 July  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 325<<335 July    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

No prices

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 325<<335 July 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 405 flat to July

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 400 flat to July

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 405<<420 July

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 385<<395 July

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 610/615

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 200/205

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220>>215 July 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing in the south of Peru has fallen off to only about 3,000 m/t with less than 15 vessels fishing. Total catch is now up to 168,000 m/t – 37,400 m/t fishmeal and 3,400 m/t fishoil.

 

The IMARPE summer cruise is chugging along as expected but is finding high levels of juvenile fish --- trade reports say that the spawning period seems to be slow this year possibly due to cold water temperatures.

 

Super Prime and Prime fishmeal prices seem to be a little higher this week and preseason sales are said to be getting close to 200,000 m/t of all grades.

 

The trade is still speculating about the size of the next North/Central quota and when fishing will start … speculating is the primary activity these days.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,630

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

2,150

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,660

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

1,740

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

2,230

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1400/1420

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1550/1570

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1600/1620

1550/1570

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1630/1650

1600/1620

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1650/1670

1650/1670

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2100/2200

2500/2600

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3500/3600

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon