Saturday, August 30, 2025

Weekly Report --- August 30, 2025

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – August 30, 2025

 

Monday is a holiday in the US – Labor Day -- and all markets and offices will be closed for the day.

 

Corn prices in the US were up by about USD 4 m/t this week with soybeans up by at most a dollar or two and soymeal down by USD 2 or so a m/t. Soft red winter wheat was up by about USD 3 m/t while hard red winter wheat was unchanged at the end of the week. US spring wheat was down by about USD 4 m/t.

 

Corn prices were up a little due to a lack of rainfall in some areas. While soybeans suffered from high world soybean stocks and a lack of any China business. There was no new trend seen in wheat prices this week.

 

Much of the market activity at the end of the week was due to the holiday on Monday with most traders covering their positions. The corn futures market saw short sellers covering shorts before the weekend and corn futures were the most traded grain/oilseed this week.

 

Looking at the month’s performance on futures prices, soybeans were up by 6.6% for the month with soymeal up by 4.7% and corn up by 1.6%. All USA wheat prices were down for the month.

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$40.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$40.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$37.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$62.00

New

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$53.00

New

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$56.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$55.00

Up $3.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$41.00

Up $1.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$50.00

New

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$28.00

New

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$30.00

Up $1.00

US PNW China: Panamax

$29.00

Up $1.00

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$53.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$37.00

New

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$35.00

Down $1.00

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$43.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$44.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$39.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$40.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$56.00

Up $3.00

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$42 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$17 Russia

Ukraine $33

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$16 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$43 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $30

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $22

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$25 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$24 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$25 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$42 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Bangladesh - Panamax

$42 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$40.00

Down $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$59.00

Up $2.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2025

Up 81

Baltic Capesize Index

2925

Up 132

Baltic Panamax Index

1847

Up 77

Baltic Supramax Index

1465

Up 41

Baltic Handisize Index

767

Up 42

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

1897

Down 35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR September 2025/November 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 223<<239 Dec

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 235<<241 Dec   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Dec

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Dec

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 235<<240 Dec   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 228/231 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230>>220 Dec

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Dec     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

No info

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 205<<210 Dec

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<215 Dec  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 190<<205 Dec   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 210<<215 Dec

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 225/228 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 220<<230 Dec

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<240 Dec

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<240 Dec

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 205<<210 Dec

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 195<<200 Dec

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 345>>335 Dec  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 375>>365 Dec  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 300<<310 Dec   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 300<<310 Dec

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 415<<420 Dec

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 410<<425 Dec

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 445>>450 Dec

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Dec

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 560<<570 Oct

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210<<215 Oct

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 215<<220 Oct 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

No catch reported for the South Region this week --- weather was very bad with ports closed. No catch now for about  three weeks.

 

Estimated fishmeal sales up to 580,000 m/t with remaining supply said to be less than 10,000 m/t.

 

Trade reports say that there is some early business surfacing for the next fishing season. The feeling in the trade seems to be that prices  will have to soften a bit as demand from China could be lower due to large stocks on hand and enroute for China.

 

At least one trade report is showing new season prime price indication at USD 1700 CNF China. Comments from China are that new season price indications from Peru are too high for market conditions.

 

MSI Ceres published corrected Peru export numbers for January to June 2025 ---- total fishmeal exports are at 764,000 m/t with China taking 629,200 m/t (82.4%)

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1740

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2365

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1720

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1850

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2435

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1520/1530

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1570/1580

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1610/1620

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1670/1680

1730/1740

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1760/1770

1760/1770

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2200/2300

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

2900/3400

3400/3500

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon