Saturday, April 27, 2024

Weekly Report --- April 27, 2024

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

3 Avenue Marie Gasquet, St Remy de Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT April 27, 2024

 

This week was an up week for prices for all grains and oilseeds --- USA corn prices were up by about USD 5 m/t with soybeans up by USD 10 m/t and US soymeal up by as much as USD 9 m/t. USA winter wheat jumped by as much as USD 29 m/t with spring wheat up by close to USD 25 m/t.

 

USA wheat had a very strong week and most trade reports are tying the increase to high world demand and questions about supply in some countries. The rush higher in wheat seemed to have very little to do with any USA based factors, all just international supply and demand factors.

 

US corn prices are  said to have rallied on the week due to problems in Brazil which could affect the current corn crop. In the US, the situation for the corn crop is actually improving as much needed rainfall has been seen in a wider area of the corn belt.

 

US soybean prices are said to be higher on the week due to problems in both Brazil and Argentina where rainfall has delayed the soybean harvest in both countries. The Argentina soybean harvest is only half of the normal level due to the rain and Brazil is having trouble finishing its soybean harvest because of heavy rain. Of course, the rain is welcome for the next crop but no one wants it during harvest.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$30.00

Up $3.00

 

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Up $3.00

 

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$27.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$27.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$28.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$36.00

Steady

 

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

 

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Up $1.00

 

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

 

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$56.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf China: Panamax

$55.00

Up $2.00

 

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$50.00

Up $2.00

 

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$29.00

Up $1.00

 

US PNW China: Panamax

$28.00

Up $1.00

 

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

 

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$52.00

Steady

 

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$58.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$32.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$72.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Jordan

$42.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to China: Panamax

$56.00

Up $2.00

 

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$57.00

Up $2.00

 

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$63.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

 

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$57.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$50.00

Steady

 

Brazil to China: Panamax

$49.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

 

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$59.00

Up $1.00

 

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$68.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$42.00

Steady

 

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$63 Russia

Ukraine $57

 

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$59 Russia

Ukraine $77

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $30

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$22 Russia

Ukraine $27

 

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$56 Russia

Ukraine $61

 

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$27 Russia

Ukraine $34

 

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$30 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$29 Russia

Ukraine $40

 

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $52

 

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$30 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$46 Russia

Ukraine $70

 

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$21 Russia

Ukraine $26

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$39.00

Down $1.00

 

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$64.00

Down $2.00

 

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1721

Down 198

 

Baltic Capesize Index

2172

Down 667

 

Baltic Panamax Index

1916

Down 38

 

Baltic Supramax Index

1394

Up 101

 

Baltic Handisize Index

722

Up 29

 

 

 

 

 

Global Container Index - Freightos

2498

Down 115

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR April 2024/June 2024

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 245<<250 July   

 

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 280<<285 July      

 

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 190>>185 July

 

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 214>>210 July 

 

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 225<<230 July   

 

   Wheat, Superior, France, Rouen

USD 227/230 Spot      

 

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 250>>240 July     

 

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 190/200      

 

 

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 213/217

 

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 200/205

 

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 180/185

 

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 195<<200 July 

 

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 220<<225 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200>>190 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 210>>200 July 

 

   Corn, FOB France – Atlantic

USD 228<<235 July

 

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 195<<200 July

 

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 185<<190 July

 

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 185<<190 July

 

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 265/275

 

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 250<<254 July

 

 

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 400<<405 July  

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 430<<435 July  

 

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 390<<395 July     

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

USD 435/440

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 380<<385 July 

 

 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 445<<450 July

 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 430<<435 July

 

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 435<<445 July

 

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 445<<450 July

 

 

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 560/570

 

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210/215

 

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 200/210 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Total catch up to the 24th stands at 457,000 m/t --- about 102,000 m/t of fishmeal and 12,000 m/t of fishoil.

 

The catch is good so far but the juvenile level is high, at an average of 60%, which will result in fishing bans in some areas. Chimbote, which is the main fishing area, has juvenile levels as high as 62%.

 

According to trade reports, there was quite a bit of business done at the IFFO meeting in Miami last week with top grade fishmeal down by about USD 100 m/t while lower grades were steady --- the spread from super prime to standard narrowed quite a bit. It is reported that a total of close to 300,000 m/t of fishmeal has been booked from this quota so far.

 

Peru’s fishmeal exports for January to March 2024 were at 266,000 MT with 96.72% going to Asia. The 2024 export numbers are down by 120,000 m/t from 2023 due to the reduced catch. For Jan/March China imported 44.4% of its fishmeal from Peru with 11% each from Vietnam and Russian and 7% each from Chile and Thailand. China’s total imports of 366,000 m/t in Jan/Mar came from 21 different origins.

 

Everyone in the industry is hoping that the good catch will continue and that Peru will be able to begin to recover from the very bad year seen in 2023. An article in one of the trade magazines said that it could take as long as 5 years for Peru’s fishmeal industry to fully recover.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,710

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

1,890

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,710

Chile fishmeal

66% protein

1,740

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

1,845

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1550/1570

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1620/1640

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1700/1720

1700/1720

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1750/1770

1750/1770

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1800/1820

1800/1820

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk

No prices

5,000

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

12,000+

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2024 Wayne S. Bacon