Saturday, July 18, 2026

Weekly Report ---- July 18 2026

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW: hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – July 18, 2026

 

  Market situation for the week.

·        US corn prices --- up by about USD 3 m/t, September to December.

·        US new crop soybean prices up by about USD 5 m/t September to December.

·        US soymeal prices --- no change on the week.

·        US winter wheat – up by about USD 17 to 20 m/t.

·        US spring wheat – up by about USD 2 m/t.

 

US corn prices are said to be trending higher both on higher demand for ethanol production and the France corn situation. The expected lower France corn crop could increase EU corn exports for 2026/27 by as much as 5.0 mm/t --- the USA could supply a good chunk of that corn. Ethanol demand is expected to increase due to the continued USA/Iran situation and the move higher for oil prices.

 

US soybean sales are looking quite good, and the market seems to feel that the China business for USA soybean will continue. Demand for more soybean exports should keep domestic soybean prices steady to higher.

 

US wheat prices are being pushed higher by several factors: drought conditions in parts of the US wheat belt, drought conditions in some wheat regions in the EU and, of course, the Black Sea situation with attacks by both Russia and Ukraine on grain facilities. Other factors, like an expected drop in production of 29% in some areas of Australia, which could cost close to 4.0 mm/t of wheat certainly are keeping the wheat market bullish.

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per MT, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax

$44.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$44.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax

$45.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$44.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$45.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 MT

$52.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$46.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf India: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$70.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$68.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$49.00

Up $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 MT

$61.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$41.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 MT

$60.00

Up $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 MT

$66.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 MT

$58.00

Up $1.00

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

N/A

 

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$45.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to China: Panamax – no top off

$54.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax – no top off

$55.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$54.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$44.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

N/A

 

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$60.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$38.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$45.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$54.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$36.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

N/A

 

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 MT

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$45.00

Up $1.00

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$58.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy – Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$53 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$60 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Bangladesh: Panamax

$47 Russia

N/A

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$18 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$18 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$64 Russia

Ukraine $72

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain – Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $18

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$29 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$28 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$29 Russia

Ukraine $30

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$29 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$64 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$22 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

N/A

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

N/A

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 MT

$26.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 MT

$45.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 MT

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 MT

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2752

Down 192

Baltic Capesize Index

4097

Down 558

Baltic Panamax Index

2248

Down 5

Baltic Supramax Index

1737

Up 31

Baltic Handisize Index

903

Down 62

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

3815

Down 169

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR August 2026/October 2026

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 278<<303 Oct

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 319<<333 Oct   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ MT

USD 225<<230

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ MT

USD 235<<240 

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 260<<265    

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 271/274 spot

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<235

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 220<<225      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 247/250 spot

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 210/215

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 260/265

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 222<<235

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 232<<245   

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 210<<220     

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 220<<230

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 277/280 spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 235<<240

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 225<<230

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ MT

USD 230<<235 

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 230<<240

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 225<<235

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 390>>375   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 420>>405   

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 350<<355    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 355<<360 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 485<<490 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 455<<490

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 480<<490

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 440<<455

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 690<<700

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 185<<190

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 240<<245

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Central/North Peru details: Quota 1,914,000 m/t, landed 471,100 m/t, fishmeal produced 116,900 m/t, fishoil produced 7,550 m/t --- balance on quota 1,442,900 m/t.

 

South Peru details: New quota 251,000 m/t, landed 00 m/t, fishmeal produced 000 – balance on quota 251,000 m/t to December 31, 2026.

(fishmeal and fishoil production are estimated)

 

No decision has been announced on the possibility of fishing in the Central/North region of Peru. Some trade reports do feel that there is a chance for some fishing in August but don’t expect any news until after the new President takes office on July 28.

 

Lima and Callao have just had the highest winter temperature seen in 28 years at an official 27.3C which is at 7.0C higher than the seasonal average ---- that is almost 26% higher than average.

 

Recent reports on the Costal El Nino event keep showing a stronger and stronger event. The fishing industry doesn’t need any more bad news in 2026.

 


 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

MT USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$2095

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$3290

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$2950

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$2850

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$3405

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 MT for fishmeal

 

It is probably of little value listing “prices” these days. Prices shown below are from trade sources but are only “referential prices.”

 

    Specification

Price per MT FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per MT

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

No prices

 

   66% protein 120 TVN

No prices

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

No prices

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

3500/3600

3450/3470

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

3550/3650

3500/3520

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

3600/3700

3550/3570

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

No prices

7500/7600

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

10,500+

No prices

 

INFORMATION: TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2026 Wayne S. Bacon