Saturday, March 30, 2024

Weekly Report --- March 30, 2024

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

3 Avenue Marie Gasquet, St Remy de Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT March 30, 2024

 

This week we saw the USDA Prospective Planting and Quarterly Stocks Reports and both moved US grain markets somewhat. Corn plantings for 2024/25 look to be below what the trade had expected while soybean plantings are about what was thought by trade experts. Winter wheat planting intentions are slightly below trade estimates while spring wheat and durum are a little higher. Of course, the planting report too is all just estimates and only time will tell what is actually planted.

 

The lower level of corn planting intentions helped to push corn prices up by USD 6 m/t on Thursday (markets were closed on Friday). However, estimated corn stocks were moved higher compared to last month’s report which probably stopped corn prices from going higher.

 

Both soybeans and soymeal prices changed very little after the reports as planting intentions were higher, but stocks were lower --- so, seemed to be a neutral effect.

 

Grain stocks for wheat showed quite a drop from the last report and were seen by the USDA to be just below the lowest trade estimate. US winter wheat prices moved higher after the reports by about USD 4 m/t while spring wheat drifted a little lower.

 

This is Easter week in Christian countries with some countries on holidays on both or either Friday and Monday. Markets are quieter due to the short work week.

 

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$30.00

Down $2.00

 

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Down $2.00

 

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$27.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$27.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$28.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Up $1.00

 

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Up $1.00

 

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$36.00

Steady

 

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Up $1.00

 

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

 

US Gulf India : Panamax

$51.00

Steady

 

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

 

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$54.00

Down $5.00

 

US Gulf China: Panamax

$53.00

Down $5.00

 

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$47.00

Steady

 

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

 

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Down $2.00

 

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Down $2.00

 

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

 

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$00.00

Closed

 

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$00.00

Closed

 

 

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$32.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$73.00

Down $1.00

 

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Jordan

$40.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to China: Panamax

$54.00

Down $5.00

 

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$55.00

Down $5.00

 

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$63.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

 

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$57.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$50.00

Steady

 

Brazil to China: Panamax

$50.00

Down $3.00

 

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$51.00

Down $3.00

 

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

 

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$64.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$66 Russia

Ukraine $66

 

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$59 Russia

Ukraine $77

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$22 Russia

Ukraine $30

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$23 Russia

Ukraine $28

 

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$54 Russia

Ukraine $61

 

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$27 Russia

Ukraine $37

 

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$33 Russia

Ukraine $40

 

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$32 Russia

Ukraine $39

 

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $52

 

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$33 Russia

Ukraine $40

 

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $70

 

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $26

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$57.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$40.00

Corrected

 

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$66.00

Corrected

 

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1821

Down 375

 

Baltic Capesize Index

2637

Down 845

 

Baltic Panamax Index

1879

Down 486

 

Baltic Supramax Index

1331

Down 52

 

Baltic Handisize Index

772

Down 23

 

 

 

 

 

Global Container Index - Freightos

2716

Up 93

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR April 2024/June 2024

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 228<<231 July   

 

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 265>>254 July      

 

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 195>>190 July

 

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 205>>200 July 

 

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 215<<220 July   

 

   Wheat, Superior, France, Rouen

USD 217/220 Spot      

 

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 225<<230 July     

 

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 185/195      

 

 

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 200/205

 

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 190/195

 

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 170/175

 

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 235/240

 

 

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 190<<195 July 

 

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 220<<225 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 195>>190 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 200<<205 July 

 

   Corn, FOB France – Atlantic

USD 213<<218 July

 

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 190<<195 July

 

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 175<<185 July

 

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 178<<183 July

 

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 280/290

 

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 255>>248 June

 

 

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 385<<390 July  

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 415>>420 July  

 

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 380>>375 July     

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

USD 420/425

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 370<<375 July 

 

 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 460<<465 July

 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 430<<435 July

 

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430>>440 July

 

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 425<<430 July

 

 

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 550/560

 

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210/220

 

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 230>>225 July

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sorry that there have been no comments on corn coproducts recently but I have lost my source of pricing and market information and am working on other possible sources.

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Peru is closed this week for a four day Easter holiday – reopening on April 01.

 

Once again there was no catch reported for the South of Per region.

 

Trade reports this week show that prices for the next season are steady for the higher grades but down about USD 50 m/t for lower grades.

 

There is no new business to report as the presale level has not changed from 100,000 m/t in a few weeks.

 

Total Peru fishmeal export shipments for January/February 2024 total 195,000 m/t with 173,700 m/t going to China.

 

Just FYI, the next IFFO meeting will be held in Miami April 15 to 17. Perhaps a time for lots of new business to be done.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,715

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

1,895

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,860

Chile fishmeal

66% protein

1,900

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

1,860

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1550/1570

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1650/1750

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1750/1770

1770/1790

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1900/1900

1870/1890

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

2030/2050

2000/2020

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk

No prices

5,000

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

12,000+

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2024 Wayne S. Bacon