Saturday, April 26, 2025

Weekly Report --- April 26, 2025

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT -- April 26, 2025

 

While possible/planned tariffs are still important to the grain/oilseed business the 90 day extension on major tariffs has calmed the grain markets a little and we are now back looking at the weather.

 

US corn futures prices were down by about USD 2 m/t this week while soybeans moved higher by about USD 3 m/t and soymeal drifted lower by USD 5 m/t. USA spring wheat futures moved lower by about USD 5 m/t with winter wheat slipping lower by about USD 6 m/t.

 

The weather in the USA look like rainfall for a few days which could end all the recent talk about drought. The temperatures across the US are also moving higher as Spring gets a good hold on things.

 

Everyone wonders what is going to happen to the USA export soybean business ---- and, of course, the export sorghum business --- but so far, the market is holding up reasonably well and prices are not collapsing. USA soybeans are the lowest priced in the market these days so there are still many world buyers.

 

Trade reports say that wheat prices should move lower unless there is a serious uptick in US export wheat sales. Also, the very good weather is putting quite a bit of downward pressure on winter wheat prices. Overall, it was another down week for US wheat prices.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$22.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$22.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$26.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$27.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$27.00

Steady

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$28.00

Steady

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$30.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$45.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$36.00

Down $1.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$51.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$57.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$38.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$34.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$35.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$51.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$36 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$34 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $39

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $51

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$34 Russia

Ukraine $70

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$15 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$19.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$32.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1373

Up 112

Baltic Capesize Index

1889

Up 211

Baltic Panamax Index

1392

Up 119

Baltic Supramax Index

977

Up 27

Baltic Handisize Index

568

Down 1

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2026

Up 21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR May 2025/July 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 224>>230 Sep

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 243<<247 Sep   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>230 Sep

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 250>>235 Sep

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 245>>235 Sep   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 243/246 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 240<<250 Sep

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 235>>220 Sep      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 220>>205 Sep

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 230>>220 Sep  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 225>>205 Sep   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 230>>210 Sep

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 234/237 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 240<<245 Sep

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 235>>220 Sep

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 245>>230 Sep

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 230<<250 Sep

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 220<<225 Aug

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 330<<340 Sep  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 355<<365 Sep  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 320<<325 Sep    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

No prices

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 320<<330 Sep 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 420>>410 Sep

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 400<<410 Sep

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 410<<430 Sep

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 400<<415 Sep

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 630>>625 Aug

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220>>215 Aug

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 230>>220 Aug 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing in the North/Central region of Peru was at 140,000 m/t for the week which leaves 2.86 million m/t on the quota. The juvenile level was very high in some areas, which led to mini bans on fishing as the week ended.

 

The catch in the South Region was less than 2,000 m/t, bringing the total catch up to 190,000 m/t and leaving 61,000 m/t on the quota.

 

The latest “official” word on any El Nino event for the fishing area is that all is “Not Active” with the situation to remain “Neutral” until the end of 2025 --- good news for fishing and the biomass.

 

There were a couple of notes in the trade press that buyers are now looking for supplies as much as USD 50 m/t below recent prices. However, there seems to be no record of business being done at the lower price level. Actually, little business is being done at all as the market is very quiet. It looks like buyers are waiting until the fishing progresses a little in the hopes that prices will slip lower. The market feeling is that there will be little change in prices or buying until the current sales are covered by the catch --- which will take at least 1.2 million m/t of catch.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,670

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

2,250

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,680

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

1,740

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

2,270

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

Prices below are from before the new quota announcement.

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1420/1440

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1520/1540

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1550/1570

1550/1570

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1620/1640

1620/1640

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1650/1670

1650/1670

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2100/2200

2500/2600

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3200/3300

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon