Saturday, May 24, 2025

Weekly Report --- May 24, 2025

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – May 24, 2025

 

Monday May 26 is a holiday in the USA so grain markets will be closed.

 

Corn prices in the US were up by about USD 6 m/t this week with soybeans up by about USD 4 m/t and soymeal also higher but by USD 5 m/t. US winter wheat increased by about USD 7 m/t while US spring wheat increased by USD 12 m/t. Most prices had slipped a little lower on Friday but not enough to offset increases from earlier in the week. Most of the Friday slump was due to the long weekend and positions being flattened.

 

Friday’s Trump announcement of possible 50% tariffs on EU goods may not be too good for US shipments of corn and DDGS to the EU  --- if they are both on the next EU counter tariff list. Soybeans and soymeal are not expected to be on any future EU tariff list. It seems that EU trade negotiations “are going nowhere” ---- we will see what happens next week. These days it is always exciting in the grain business.

 

The US weather for corn planting looks quite good for the next few days. Soybeans too look good for planning in the north planting region. US wheat prices seemed to be rallying on very good export sales.

 

We should see some additional reaction to US/EU tariffs next week which should certainly have an effect on prices or on negotiating attitudes.

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$30.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$31.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$32.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$33.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$47.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$35.00

Up $5.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$50.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$38.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $18

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $39

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $51

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $40

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$34 Russia

Ukraine $70

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$15 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$18.00

Down $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$29.00

Down $1.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1340

Down 48

Baltic Capesize Index

1900

Down 118

Baltic Panamax Index

1246

Down 44

Baltic Supramax Index

983

Up 5

Baltic Handisize Index

581

Up 27

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2258

Up 143

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR June 2025/August 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 225>>233 Sep

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 237<<242 Sep   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>225 Sep

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 245>>225 Sep

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 255>>235 Sep   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 235/238 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<235 Sep

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 225>>215 Sep      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 230/235

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 245/250

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 210>>205 Sep

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 220>>215 Sep  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 210>>200 Sep   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 220>>210 Sep

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 235/238 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 240>>235 Sep

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 240>>220 Sep

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>220 Sep

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 220<<235 Sep

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 205<<210 Sep

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 325<<335 Sep  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 350<<360 Sep  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 315<<325 Sep    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

No prices

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 310<<325 Sep 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 415 steady to Sep

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 390<<400 Sep

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 410<<425 Sep

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 400<<410 Sep

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 590>>585 Aug

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 205>>210 Aug

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220>>210 Aug 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing in the North/Central region was not quite so good this week due to mini-bans caused by high juvenile levels ---- fishing was still at 148,000 m/t making the total landings now at 1.58 million m/t and leaving 1.42 mm/t on the quota. Mini-bans are expected to continue in the North/Central region. Landings in the South region were only at 4,300 m/t bringing the total to 195,000 m/t with 56,000 m/t left on the quota.

 

The IFFO conference in Madrid was reported to have been very good and there seemed to have been quite a bit of new business done during the conference according to trade reports. As usual, China is the main buyer and still seem interested in buying more. Sales to date from Peru look to be about 470,000 m/t – which could be as much as 66% of total production at full quota.

 

At this point everyone still seems to feel that the total quota will be landed which will make 2025 a very good year so far.

 

   

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

No price update available this week

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1660

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2245

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1620

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1710

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2280

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1330/1350

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1380/1400

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1440/1460

1530/1550

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1570/1640

1570/1590

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1620/1640

1620/1640

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2500/2600

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3500/3600

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon