Saturday, July 05, 2025

Weekly Report --- July 05, 2025

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – July 05, 2025

 

It was a short work week in the USA this week due to the July 04 Independence Day holiday.

 

USA new crop corn was up by about USD 4 m/t with soybeans up by USD 9 m/t and soymeal up by about USD 2 m/t. US winter wheat was up by as much as USD 5 m/t with spring wheat up by USD 7 m/t.

 

While US corn prices were up a little this week it is expected that rain in the weather forecast may push corn prices lower next week. The is nothing like beneficial rainfall to weaken prices a little.

 

The increase in soybean prices was reported to be due to very good export sales and the feeling that the USA may be back in the China market with soybeans.

 

USA wheat exports were higher than expected, which was a factor in the rally in wheat for the week.

 

Next week on July 09 we will have “tariff” day when we see what is going to happen with USA import tariffs and possible import reciprocal tariffs from exporting countries. We already know due to lists that have been published that there are serious grain import tariffs planned by the EU but we don’t know what the Trump regime actions will be on July 09. Have all the reduced tariff agreements been made for exports and imports --- will everyone be happy by the end of the week? July 09 will be an interesting and perhaps troublesome day.

   

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$32.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$32.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$33.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$33.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$34.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$34.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$35.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$49.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$48.00

Up $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$39.00

Up $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$53.00

Down $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$59.00

Down $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$42.00

Up $1.00

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$40.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$41.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$36.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$37.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$50.00

Down $1.00

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$38 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$40 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$25 Russia

Ukraine $21

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$39 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$19.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$32.00

Up $2.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

1436

Down 85

Baltic Capesize Index

1855

Down 365

Baltic Panamax Index

1520

Up 30

Baltic Supramax Index

1081

Up 72

Baltic Handisize Index

633

Down 3

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2604

Down 238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR August 2025/October 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 227<<244 Nov

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 232<<250 Nov   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 220<<225 Nov

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Nov

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<240 Nov   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 232/235 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 225<<230 Nov

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 210<<215 Nov     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 215/220

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 195<<205 Nov

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<220 Nov  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<205 Nov   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 210<<215 Nov

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 231/234 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 245<<250 Nov

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<215 Nov

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235>>215 Nov

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 200<<210 Nov

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 190<<205 Nov

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 300<<315 Nov  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 325<<340 Nov  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 290<<310 Nov   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 295<<320 Nov

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 420 to November

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 410<<420 Nov

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 435<<445 Nov

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Nov

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 575<<580 Oct

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 205>>200 Oct

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 225>>220 Oct 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing in the North/Central region is still low and there was no new season fishing in the South. The total catch is now up to 2.25 million m/t which leaves about 750,000 m/t on the North/Central quota. Estimated fishmeal production is now at 506,300 m/t for the season and 59,500 m/t of fish oil.

 

One reason that the fishing was low this week was because all fishmen had holidays on Saturday through Monday --- for Fisherman’s Day. So, the landed numbers are lower and not comparative with a seven day week.

 

Trade reports this week have been saying that the final catch for this season “might” go up to 2.5 million m/t --- fingers crossed.

 

Prices are unchanged for fishmeal this week --- both in Peru for export and in China. However, trade reports suggest that prices will begin to move higher as it does not look like there will be much fishmeal available for sale.

 

The latest published Peruvian export numbers for January/May 2025 show a total of 580,000 m/t of fishmeal exported with 89%, 457,000 m/t, going to China.

 

     

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1686

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2335

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1650

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1780

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2390

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1420/1440

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1510/1530

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1570/1590

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1620/1640

1650/1670

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1670/1690

1670/1690

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2350/2400

2100/2200

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

2900/3400

3100/3300

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon