Saturday, July 19, 2025

Weekly Report --- July 19, 2025

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – July 19, 2025

 

This week was more of an up week for prices than last week --- corn prices were up by about USD 6 m/t with soybean up by USD 10 m/t but soymeal was down by USD 5 m/t for the week. USA winter wheat was almost unchanged for the week while US spring wheat dropped by USD 6 m/t.

 

US winter wheat had a very strong rally on Friday or would have been lower on the week --- some experts say that this might be a reversal of the price trend for winter wheat. US spring wheat was lower all week on good weather. Market experts say that US spring wheat is now oversold and could see a price rally.

 

US corn prices were higher all week as the very hot dry weather seen in the corn belt got people worried. Experts say that the corn crop is almost all pollinated and seems to be in good shape which may mean lower corn prices in the days to come.

 

US soybeans may be affected by the high heat and dry weather seen in much of the soybean growing area, this is pushing USA prices higher. US soybean exports have slipped a little as Brazil seems to be taking much of the current soybean export business.

 

    

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$24.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$24.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$40.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$40.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$37.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$53.00

Up $4.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$52.00

Up $4.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$40.00

Steady

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$30.00

Up $2.00

US PNW China: Panamax

$29.00

Up $2.00

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$53.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$45.00

Up $2.00

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$44.00

Up $4.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$45.00

Up $4.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Up $1.00

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$40.00

Up $3.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$41.00

Up $3.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$39 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$17 Russia

Ukraine $35

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$14 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$41 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$25 Russia

Ukraine $23

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$22 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$21 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$22 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$41 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$24.00

Up $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$37.00

Up $1.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2052

Up 389

Baltic Capesize Index

3084

Up 980

Baltic Panamax Index

1919

Up 59

Baltic Supramax Index

1346

Up 127

Baltic Handisize Index

673

Up 28

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2381

Down 137

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR August 2025/October 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 221<<247 Nov

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 229<<243 Nov   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235<<240 Nov

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235<<240 Nov

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 240<<250 Nov   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 239/242 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<235 Nov

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 225<<230 Nov     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 210/220

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 200<<205 Nov

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<215 Nov  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<205 Nov   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 205<<210 Nov

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 244/247 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 235<<240 Nov

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 220<<230 Nov

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<240 Nov

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 195<<205 Nov

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 190<<200 Nov

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 310<<320 Nov  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 335<<345 Nov  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 295<<310 Nov   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 300<<315 Nov

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 415<<420 Nov

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 415<<420 Nov

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430<<440 Nov

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Nov

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 565<<575 Oct

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210>>205 Oct

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 225>>220 Oct 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing has dropped off considerably in the North/Central region with last week only reaching about 20,000 m/t landed. There is now 614,000 m/t left on the region’s quota with about 2.385 million m/t landed. Trade comment these days are that the total catch will end up at about 2.5 million m/t and there is quite a bit of talk that IMARPE may end the fishing early.

 

The estimates of fishmeal sales to date are still at about 535,000 m/t but could be higher. If the quota finishes at 2.5 mm/t there will be almost nothing left to sell.

 

There are also comments that this season’s catch yielded a lower level of super prime and prime grades than had been expected. Hopes are that this is only a one season situation and that there will be more higher grades next season.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1695

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2350

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1680

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1810

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2410

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1420/1440

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1510/1530

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1590/1610

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1670/1690

1670/1690

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1690/1710

1690/1710

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2100/2200

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3000/3500

3100/3300

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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