Saturday, August 23, 2025

Weekly Report --- August 23, 2025

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – August 23, 2025

 

At the end of the week US corn futures prices were up by about USD 2 m/t with soybeans up by USD 6 m/t and soymeal down by USD 3 m/t. US winter wheat was almost unchanged in the week, perhaps up a dollar or two depending on the type. US spring what was unchanged on the week.

 

Weather in the grain/oilseed area of the US looks to be a little rainy over the next few days. The rain will probably be welcomed in most areas. The rain will also be good for building ground moisture for the upcoming winter wheat planting.

 

The IGC estimate of world corn production was increased this week to an all-time high of level but it also sees corn use in animal feed and ethanol production to be higher. France’s corn crop, according to France AgriMer is at the poorest condition seen in 3 years with total France corn production down by 5.6%.

 

Soybean prices were up this week mainly due to the strong demand for soyoil. Soyoil was the most traded commodity in the US futures market this week. The IGC report of this week shows world soybean production at the highest level ever seen.

 

There wasn’t much excitement with US wheat prices this week but France AgriMer does think that its wheat crop will be up by 29% this year, after last year’s drought, which would make France the largest European wheat producer.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$38.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$38.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$39.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$39.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$40.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$37.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$41.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$53.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$52.00

Down $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$40.00

Up $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$53.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$36.00

Down $2.00

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$42.00

Down $2.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$43.00

Down $2.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$38.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$39.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$41 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$16 Russia

Ukraine $33

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$15 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$42 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $30

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $22

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$23 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$42 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$41.00

Up $6.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$57.00

Up $4.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

1944

Down 100

Baltic Capesize Index

2793

Down 502

Baltic Panamax Index

1770

Up 148

Baltic Supramax Index

1424

Up 104

Baltic Handisize Index

725

Up 27

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

1932

Down 205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR September 2025/November 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 223<<239 Dec

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 229<<241 Dec   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235<<240 Dec

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235<<240 Dec

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 240<<245 Dec   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 232/235 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 235>>225 Dec

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Dec     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 200<<205 Dec

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<215 Dec  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<210 Dec   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 210<<215 Dec

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 228/231 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 250<<260 Dec

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<240 Dec

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<215 Dec

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 205<<210 Dec

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 185<<195 Dec

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 335>>330 Dec  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 365>>360 Dec  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 310<<320 Dec   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 315<<320 Dec

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 420<<425 Dec

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 430<<440 Dec

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 450>>435 Dec

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 415<<425 Dec

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 555<<565 Oct

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 215<<220 Oct

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220<<225 Oct 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

No catch seen for the South Region last week --- reported very bad weather for fishing.

 

New report on El Nino/La Nina shows weak to neutral effect over the next few months for all Pru fishing areas.

 

Little or nothing left to sell in Peru so fishmeal prices not doing too much although the estimated prices for the next season have dropped a little.

 

According to MSI Ceres there hasn’t been any business booked for the next fishing season but that all looks bullish, bullish and bullish.

 

Final Peru fishmeal export numbers to the end of June show 764,000 m/t exported with 629,000 m/t to China (82.35%). China’s imports for the same period show 1.2 million m/t with 602,000 m/t from Peru – the difference in quantities is because of goods in transit. Vietnam is the next largest shipper to China with 121,000 m/t of fishmeal followed by Russia with 88,000 m/t then Chile with 83,000 m/t. Peru shows as supplying 49.9% of China’s total fishmeal imports.

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1740

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2340

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1700

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1850

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2395

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1500/1510

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1570/1580

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1610/1620

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1670/1680

1710/1720

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1720/1730

1740/1750

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2200/2300

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

2900/3400

3400/3500

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.