Saturday, July 06, 2024

Weekly Report --- July 06, 2024

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

3 Avenue Marie Gasquet, St Remy de Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT -- JULY 06, 2024

 

It was a very short US trading week this week with Thursday closed for Independence Day and many choosing to take Friday off as well. Even the futures market was not as active as the week ended --- just too many folks taking an extra-long weekend.

 

Soybeans were up again this week while corn prices did drift lower and wheat tried to rally higher. The market was quiet due to the holiday and in anticipation of next week’s USDA WASDE report on Friday.

 

There are really very few comments at the end of the week about the US grain and oilseed business --- all was just too quiet this week.

 

So, not much to say this week --- more next week after the WASDE.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$26.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$26.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$29.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$29.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$46.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$47.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$35.00

Up $3.00

 

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$48.00

Up $2.00

 

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

 

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

 

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

 

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$52.00

Down $1.00

 

US Gulf China: Panamax

$51.00

Down $1.00

 

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$52.00

Up $1.00

 

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

 

US PNW China: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

 

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

 

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$54.00

Down $1.00

 

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$60.00

Down $1.00

 

 

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$32.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Jordan

$42.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

Argentina to China: Panamax

$51.00

Down $1.00

 

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$52.00

Down $1.00

 

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$48.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$63.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

 

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$57.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$43.00

Steady

 

Brazil to China: Panamax

$47.00

Up $1.00

 

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$48.00

Up $1.00

 

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$42.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$64.00

Up $1.00

 

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$73.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$42.00

Steady

 

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$56 Russia

Ukraine $54

 

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$60 Russia

Ukraine $77

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$16 Russia

Ukraine $24

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$17 Russia

Ukraine $27

 

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$48 Russia

Ukraine $61

 

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$26 Russia

Ukraine $35

 

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$28 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$27 Russia

Ukraine $40

 

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $52

 

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$28 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$47 Russia

Ukraine $70

 

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $26

 

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$16.00

Down $3.00

 

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$49.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

$59.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$46.00

Down $4.00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1966

Down 84

 

Baltic Capesize Index

3339

Down 4

 

Baltic Panamax Index

1546

Down 121

 

Baltic Supramax Index

1335

Down 50

 

Baltic Handisize Index

763

Down 21

 

 

 

 

 

Global Container Index - Freightos

5022

Up 514

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR July 2024/September 2024

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 235<<245 Oct

 

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 250<<280 Oct      

 

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 210<<215 Oct

 

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 220<<225 Oct 

 

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<235 Oct   

 

   Wheat, Superior, France, Rouen

USD 240<<245 Oct      

 

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 265>>255 Oct     

 

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 210/220      

 

 

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 215/220

 

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

 

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 175/180

 

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 185<<190 Oct 

 

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 215<<220 Oct  

 

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 185>>175 Oct  

 

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 195<<200 Oct 

 

   Corn, FOB France – Atlantic

USD 238-241 Spot

 

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 195<<200 Oct

 

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 195<<200 Oct

 

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 185<<190 Oct

 

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 260/270

 

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 238<<243 Oct

 

 

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 440>>400 Oct  

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 470>>430 Oct  

 

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 380>>375 Oct     

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

USD 435/440

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 380>>375 Oct 

 

 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 455>>440 Oct

 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 440<<445 Oct

 

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 445<<455 Oct

 

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 445<<450 Oct

 

 

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 570/580

 

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 215/220

 

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220/225 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

The first few days of fishing in the South of Peru, on the new 251,000 m/t quota, showed a catch of only about 2,000 m/t with very, very few vessels fishing. The old quota finished off with a catch of 31,000 m/t producing about 7,300 m/t of fishmeal --- 220,000 m/t was left on the quota at expiry.

 

With very little fishmeal left to sell in Peru it is difficult to get an accurate idea of prices. Looking at trade reports at the end of the week it looks like prices could have moved a little lower but it is very difficult to know for sure as so little is happening.

 

Trade estimates are that there is no more than 30,000 m/t of unsold Peruvian fishmeal --- not much at all and all lower grades and odd lots.

 

Hopes are that the South region fishing will be busy for the next 2 or 3 months giving traders and producers something to sell.

 

The trade has already started speculating on the next North/Central fishing quota later in 2024 --- most seem to feel that 1.7 million m/t could be a good minimum level for the next quota. We just have to wait and see --- for a few weeks, at least until October.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,750

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

1,920

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,650

Chile fishmeal

66% protein

1,680

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

1,925

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1500/1520

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1550/1570

 

   67n% protein 120 TVN

1600/1620

1620/1640

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1650/1670

1670/1690

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1800/180

1800/1820

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk

5,500

5,000/5,300

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

6,500/7,000

6,300/6,500

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2024 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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