Saturday, September 06, 2025

Hammersmith Weekly Report --- Sept 06, 2025

Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – September 06, 2025

 

Corn had an active week for prices with up and down days but finished the week almost unchanged. Soymeal prices moved about USD 10 m/t lower with soymeal down by USD 5 m/t. USA winter wheat was down by about USD 6 m/t while spring wheat prices dropped by about USD 4 m/t.

 

Corn did try and try to move higher this week but exports were below expectations --- although new crop corn sales were higher than expected --- and good rainfall is seen. On the year corn exports are looking to be at record levels, so no complaints there.

 

US soybeans also tried to move higher this week but just couldn’t. There were a couple of large soybean export sales reported but this was not enough to keep the prices steady. Actual soybean shipments have dropped by about 16% in recent weeks although in the full year soybean shipments are up by 13%.

 

Wheat prices were lower with disappointing exports for the week although reported new sales were quite encouraging. Overall wheat exports are up by 22.5% versus last year, sounds like a good year to me.

 

The USGBC sent out a little note this week pointing out how US sorghum is so competitive for export with a saving of more than USD 8 m/t versus US corn. The problem is that there is a learning curve with using sorghum in feed rations that can scare off buyers --- but the price is certainly attractive and there are scads of US sorghum to sell.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$40.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$37.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Steady

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$41.00

Steady

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$55.00

Up $2.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$61.00

Up $2.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$35.00

Corrected

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$44.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$57.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$44 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$53 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$19 Russia

Ukraine $33

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$18 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $19

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$25 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$24 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$25 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$44 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Bangladesh - Panamax

$44 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$39.00

Down $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$57.00

Down $2.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

1979

Down 46

Baltic Capesize Index

2835

Down 90

Baltic Panamax Index

1802

Down 45

Baltic Supramax Index

1456

Down 9

Baltic Handisize Index

787

Up 20

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2035

Up 138

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR October 2025/December 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 229<<237 Jan

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 232<<239 Jan   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Jan

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Jan

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<235 Jan   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 224/227 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230>>220 Jan

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Jan     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 245/250

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 200<<205 Jan

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<215 Jan  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<210 Jan   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 205<<215 Jan

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 226/229 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 220<<230 Jan

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 210<<215 Jan

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 210<<220 Jan

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 195<<200 Jan

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 195<<200 Jan

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 325<<330 Jan  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 355<<360 Jan  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 300<<310 Jan   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 305<<315 Jan

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 405<<415 Jan

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 415<<420 Jan

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 450>>430 Jan

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<415 Jan

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 560<<570 Dec

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210<<215 Dec

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220<<225 Dec

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Not much new in the Peru fishmeal business this week ---- still no fishing in the South region and the current IMARPE cruise has been delayed by bad weather.

 

Only the dregs of fishmeal left for sale in Peru --- less than 5,000 m/t according to trade reports. The market is really missing the normal production from the South --- normally quite small but important when the North/Central stocks are sold out.

 

Fishmeal stocks in China ports still seen as very high --- just at the 300,000 m/t level. Local China fishmeal production period will start shortly.

 

As previously reported, there has been some business done for the next season  but with prices to be set later – quantity not known.

 

There has been lots of talk about the quota for the next season with the trade seeming to feel that the quota will be set at 2.0 million m/t or a little higher.

 

Peru fishmeal exports to the end of July are at just about 917,000 m/t with 749,000 m/t going to China. The next biggest buyer is Germany with 44,000 m/t then Ecuador with 35,000 m/t.

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1740

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2380

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1720

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1850

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2470

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1510/1520

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1560/1570

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1610/1620

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1670/1680

1730/1740

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1770/1780

1770/1780

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2300/2400

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

2900/3400

3400/3500

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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