Sunday, September 21, 2025

Weekly Report --- September 20, 2025

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – September 20, 2025

 

USA corn prices were lower by USD 3 m/t this week with soybeans lower by at USD 8 m/t and soymeal down by close to USD 5 m/t. Both US winter and spring wheats were lower this week with hard red winter down by almost USD 3 m/t with hard red spring down only a dollar or two m/t.

 

Corn had a quiet week with not too much excitement in the market, One trade report  said that there is a lot of uncertainty about what the corn yield is going to be which means that so far there is no long-term trend in corn prices. Export sales were quite good for the week and Taiwan/USA signed an agreement that should increase its Ag imports by about 25%.

 

Soybeans are reported to be lower due to the lack of China business. There are very high level talks going on with China but so far no positive results for US soybean back into China. Actually, there have not been any positive results reported for anything but the talking continues.

 

US wheat prices slipped a little during the week as the world situation for wheat just kept showing more and more wheat. Too much supply from too many wheat exporting countries all with highly competitive prices seems to be ruling the wheat market these days.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$28.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$40.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$40.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$38.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$58.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$57.00

Up $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$41.00

Down $1.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$29.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$57.00

Up $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$63.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$39.00

Up $2.00

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$36.00

Down $1.00

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$44.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$44.00

Up $1.00

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$57.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$44 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$53 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $18

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$27 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$26 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$27 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$43 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Bangladesh - Panamax

$44 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$46.00

Up $3.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Up $5.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2203

Up 77

Baltic Capesize Index

3437

Up 367

Baltic Panamax Index

845

Down 161

Baltic Supramax Index

1489

Down 3

Baltic Handisize Index

815

Up 11

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

1932

Down 92

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR October 2025/December 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 227<<232 Jan

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 232<<239 Jan   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Jan

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230<<235 Jan

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 235<<240 Jan   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 231/234 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 225>>215 Jan

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Jan     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 204<<207 Jan

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 213<<216 Jan  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<210 Jan   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 210<<215 Jan

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 227/230 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 225<<230 Jan

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 215<<220 Jan

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 215<<220 Jan

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 195<<205 Jan

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 195<<200 Jan

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 325<<330 Jan  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 355>>360 Jan  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 300<<310 Jan   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 310<<320 Jan

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 400<<410 Jan

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 415<<420 Jan

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 450>>425 Jan

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Jan

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 580<<590 Dec

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210<<215 Dec

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220<<225 Dec

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Another week has passed with no catch in the South Region of Peru according to trade reports this is 5 weeks without any landings.

 

The latest statement on the El Nino/La Nina situation is that all looks quite good into the first quarter of 2026 --- no major events are seen, so fishing should not suffer from these events.

 

Fishmeal stocks in China are a little lower at 280,000 m/t as end-user increase their offtake of fishmeal supply in advance of the upcoming Golden Week Holidays. Prices in China have moved a little higher due to the pre-holiday demand.

 

Trade reports also say that new booking for the next fishing season are at about 60,000 m/t with some saying that the bookings look to be at slightly higher prices.

 

Overall, the fishmeal export market in Peru is quiet as neither buyers nor sellers seem too interested in making large commitments before seeing the results of the IMARPE research cruises. However, sellers see the higher prices in China and look to see the same trend in Peru.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1760

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2450

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1750

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1890

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2520

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1500/1510

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1570/1580

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1620/1630

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1700/1710

1720/1730

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1770/1780

1770/1780

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2300/2400

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

2900/3400

3400/3500

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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