Sunday, December 07, 2025

Weekly Report --- Dec 06 2025

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – December 06, 2025

 

There was no change in US corn prices this week but soybeans dropped by USD 11 m/t and soymeal was down by about USD 12 m/t. US winter wheat was perhaps USD 2 higher while spring wheat was about USD 2 m/t lower.

 

According to the USGBC this year will see the highest US corn crop in at least 15 years with production of 425 million m/t. They add that the broken corn and foreign matter level is the lowest that thy have ever reported in the “Harvest Quality Report” ---- the full report is available at:  grains.org/corn_report/corn-harvest-quality-report-2025-2026.

 

Soybeans moved lower and carried soymeal along as confidence in China business slipped a little as experts felt that 12 million m/t of China soybean business may not be done. China’s commitments to US soybeans are much lower than the trade had hoped which is taking some wind out of the sales, as they say.

 

What prices moved around a little this week seeming to follow the direction of international wheat prices. Other than the bog Algerian tender, there wasn’t a great deal of wheat news this week.

 

Next week is WASDE week again but according to trade reports there is little expectation of any major changes --- maybe some increase in export trade and a little lower ending stocks.

 

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$29.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$29.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$42.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$39.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$43.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$51.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$57.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$56.00

Down $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$42.00

Steady

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$45.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$31.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$58.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$45.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$44.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$39.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$40.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$49 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$53 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Bangladesh: Panamax

$45 Russia

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$21 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $19

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$31 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$30 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$31 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$45.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$63.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2727

Up 167

Baltic Capesize Index

5083

Up 602

Baltic Panamax Index

1837

Down 115

Baltic Supramax Index

1436

Down 5

Baltic Handisize Index

841

Up 14

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

1941

Up 178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR December 2025/February 2026

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 243>>235 Mar

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 242>>239 Mar   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 228<<235 Mar

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 228<<235 Mar

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 233<<240 Mar   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 228/231 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 215<<220 Mar

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 223<<230 Mar     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 235/238

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/228

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 208 flat to Mar

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 223 flat to Mar  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 217>>200 Mar   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 225 flat to Mar

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 226/229 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 230<<235 Mar

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 220<<225 Mar

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 218<<222 Mar

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 195<<200 Mar

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 220<<225 Mar

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 370<<75 Mar  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 4000<<405 Mar  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 345>>335 Mar   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 345>>335 Mar

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 440<<445 Mar 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 425>>410 Mar

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430>>420 Mar

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 420<<425 Mar

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 590>>585

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 235>>230

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 235>>225

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

The catch this week in the North/Central region of Peru was at 106,000 m/t which brings the total catch to 840,000 m/t leaving 780,000 m/t on the quota, Fishmeal production is at about 187,000 m/t with fishoil at 35,600 m/t. Just under 300 vessels were working. In the South region that catch is now up to 60,000 m/t with about 190,000 m/t open on the quota.

 

Peru fishmeal sales are now estimated to be getting close to 280,000 m/t with a full quota able to yield close to 390,000 m/t of fishmeal ---- therefore about 110,000 m/t unsold at most.

 

Fishing was not as good this week as the wee anchovies are hiding which has made some “experts” wonder if the full quota will be landed. Hopefully, December will be a good fishing month because January normally isn’t.

 

The second biggest problem for Peru, after fishing, will be the logistics of getting fishmeal shipped with all the December and early January holidays coming.

 

According to trade reports, prices for fishmeal in both Peru and China were steady this week.

 

Peru’s export stats show a total of 1,175,000 m/t of fishmeal exported in 10 months of 2025 to the end of October ---- 86.5% of exports, 1,016,000 m/t went to Asia and 8.6% - 100,000 m/t to Europe. 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

No change in prices this week.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1800

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2485

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$2210

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$2250

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2540

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1950/1970

 

   66% protein 120 TVN

2020/2040

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

2070/2090

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

2120/2140

2150/2170

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

2170/2190

2200/2220

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

2220/2240

2250/2270

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

3400/3500

3200/3300

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

4,300/4,500

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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