Saturday, December 20, 2025

Weekly Report --- December 20 2025

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

Season’s Greetings to all --- both a great family Christmas and a happy New Year.

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – December 20, 2025

 

This is the last report for 2025 --- the next report will be on January 02, 2026

 

There was almost no change in US corn prices as the week ended but soybeans were down by USD 10 m/t but soymeal was unchanged on the week. US soft red winter wheat was down by almost USD 10 m/t while US spring wheat was up by a couple of dollars m/t.

 

Corn prices looked like they wanted to go lower this week but strong export sales kept prices steady. On major trade house said that they expected corn prices to move up by USD 10 m/t or so in coming weeks if export demand stays good.

 

Soybean markets are not moving higher on export sales as the feeling is that higher exports to China are already in the price and that if expected sales to China don’t get shipped then soybean prices will continue lower. No one sees new sales to China as new business; everyone just sees this apart of the original 12 million m/t sale  ---- if total sales to China get to exceeding 12 mm/t then soybeans could rally.

 

US wheat prices just look like they are wanting to move lower, matching what seems to be happening in all world wheat markets. For 2026 there just looks to be too much wheat available ---- demand is still very strong but supply is at record levels. Wheat importing countries should see buying opportunities in 2026.

     

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$28.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$28.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$39.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$39.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$40.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$40.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$41.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$39.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$42.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Bangladesh: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Vietnam: Panamax

$49.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$54.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$53.00

Down $2.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$42.00

Steady

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Bangladesh: Panamax

$44.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Vietnam: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Down $2.00

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Down $2.00

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$58.00

Down $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$64.00

Down $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to Bangladesh 40,000 m/t

$54.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Down $3.00

France/Germany to India: Panamax

$43.00

Down $1.00

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$39.00

Down $4.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$40.00

Down $4.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$40.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$36.00

Down $2.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$37.00

Down $2.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$43.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$44 Russia

Ukraine $57

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Bangladesh: Panamax

$45 Russia

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$19 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$20 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$44 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $23

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$23 Russia

Ukraine $18

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$29 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$28 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$29 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$45 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$35.00

Down $3.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$52.00

Down $6.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

2023

Down 704

Baltic Capesize Index

3624

Down 82

Baltic Panamax Index

1323

Down 365

Baltic Supramax Index

1222

Down 149

Baltic Handisize Index

746

Down 59

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2097

Up 140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR January 2026/March 2026

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 228<<231 Apr

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 234<<237 Apr   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Apr

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Apr

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<235 Apr   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 228/231 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 215<<220 Apr

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 220<<225 Apr     

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 230/233

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 225/228

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 230/235

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 212 flat to Apr

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 222 flat to Apr  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 215>>205 Apr   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 225 flat to Apr

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 229/232 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 225<<230 Apr

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 220<<225 Apr

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 215<<220 Apr

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 200<<205 Apr

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 220<<225 Apr

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 355<<360 Apr  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 385<<390 Apr  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 340>>325 Apr   

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 330>>325 Apr

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 420<<425 Apr 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 415>>395 Apr

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430>>405 Apr

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 420<<425 Apr

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 585>>580

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 230>>225

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 230>>225

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing was more difficult in Peru this week with the catch in the North/Central region only at 89,000 MT which brings the total catch close to 1.21 million m/t with about 430,000 m/t still open on the quota. In the South region fishing was at just over 20,000 m/t with total catch to date now up to 77,000 m/t with 174,000 m/t left on the quota.

 

Peru fishing has been tough, juvenile level is higher and several mini-bans reduced the catch --- anchovies have been more difficult to find as they moved closer to the coastline to avoid cooler ocean waters.

 

The fishmeal trade in Peru seems quite confident that the full quota, or close to it, will be landed. Everyone is hoping for fewer mini bans in coming days/weeks.

 

Fishmeal sales are now thought to be close to 300,000 m/t with buying interest seen only from China.

 

Prices for fishmeal in China are reported to be lower for stocks on hand as everyone is trying to reduce their last season stocks to make room for current season shipments.

 

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1800

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2485

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$2210

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$2250

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2540

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

Next fishing season

 

   65% protein standard steam

1970/1990

 

   66% protein 120 TVN

2010/2030

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

2050/2070

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

2150/2170

2170/2190

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

2170/2190

2220/2240

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

2240/2260

2240/2260

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

3400/3500

3000/3100

   Fish oil, crude in drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

4,200/4,400

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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