Saturday, June 07, 2025

Weekly Report --- June 07, 2025

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – June 07, 2025

 

Another busy week in the grain/oilseed/protein business with not quite as much tariff related market excitement. USA corn prices were up by about USD 5 m/t for the week with soybeans also up by USD 4 or 5 m/t. Soymeal was almost unchanged for the week. USA winter wheat prices were higher by USD 6 or 7 m/t with spring wheat only up by about USD 4 m/t.

 

Corn prices moved higher on 2025 crop quality concerns as the planting was delayed in some parts of the US due to heavy rainfall. Some are saying that corn plantings may not reach the USDA forecast as a result of the delays. Of course, reports also add that 93% of the corn has been planted but this is still below the five-year average planting level.

 

Soybeans were said to be higher based on the planned USA/China tariff talks next week. The market seems to be expecting an agreement that will see US soybeans back into the market in China. The soybean crop is 84% planted, which is 4% above the five year average.

 

Wheat prices were higher mainly due to the increased attacks on the Ukraine and the threats of more to come from Russia with possible increased attacks on Ukraine grain export facilities. Also, heavy rainfall in parts of the wheat belt look to possible delays of winter wheat harvesting. Winter wheat condition is at 52% good to excellent, which sounds low, but is actually higher than average --- the average is at about 49%. The drought in parts of the wheat belt seems to be over.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$31.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$32.00

Steady

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$31.00

Up $2.00

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$33.00

Steady

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$46.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$45.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$38.00

Up $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$50.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$37.00

Down $1.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$38.00

Down $1.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to China: Panamax

$33.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$34.00

Down $1.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Up $1.00

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$26 Russia

Ukraine $21

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $25

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$19 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$18.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$29.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1633

Up 215

Baltic Capesize Index

2842

Up 565

Baltic Panamax Index

1246

Up 127

Baltic Supramax Index

933

Down 18

Baltic Handisize Index

600

Down 1

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

3650

Up 1343

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR July 2025/September 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 230<<248 Oct

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 239<<264 Oct   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 218<<223 Oct

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Oct

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<235 Oct   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 230/233 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<235 Oct

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Oct      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 215/220

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 200/205

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 200<<205 Oct

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 210<<220 Oct  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 195<<205 Oct   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 205<<210 Oct

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 226/229 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 210<<215 Oct

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 215<<225 Oct

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 235>>210 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 210<<220 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 195<<205 Oct

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 330<<340 Oct  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 355<<365 Oct  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 3-5<<335 Oct    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

No prices

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 310<<335 Oct 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 410 steady to Oct

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 390<<410 Oct

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430<<435 Oct

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 400<<420 Oct

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 600>>595 Sep

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 210>>205 Sep

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 235>>230 Sep 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

North/Central fishing in Peru reached a total of 1.93 million m/t leaving 1.07 mm/t on the quota.

 

Some trade reports are speculating that the full quota will not be reached as landings are now down to about 40,000 m/t per week due to fishing bans and bad weather. However, trade reports also say that fishing is expected to improve for the next few weeks with a possible catch at 2,8 mm/t at the end of June.

 

Super Prime fishmeal is said to be impossible to buy in Peru with Prime almost as difficult to find ---- lower grades of fishmeal are all that are available for now. One trade report said that it is the high level of juvenile anchovies that is keeping the protein levels lower. Juveniles are still about 31 to 33% of the catch.

 

Demand is steady for export fishmeal with the sales seeming to be keeping ahead of production. Fishmeal production in the North/Central region is at about 436,000 m/t but sales are said to be just over 500,000 m/t. As usual, it looks like every ton of fishmeal produced will be a ton of fishmeal sold. It has been a long time since there has been any surplus of fishmeal in Peru.

 

I had a call this week from a company that is building a facility to produce high protein meal from methane gas but, like all protein alternatives, this will be very high priced, low volume production that will have to find a niche in the protein market. The planned production is only 50,000 m/t per year, which certainly won’t scare the fishmeal industry.

 

There seems to be new attempts to find a fishmeal alternative every year and every year the fishmeal industry just keeps happily chugging along --- selling every ton and wishing that there were more.

 

   

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1665

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2230

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1580

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1690

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2275

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1320/1340

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1360/1380

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1420/1440

1550/1570

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1570/1590

1610/1620

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1620/1650

1630/1650

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2500/2600

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3500/3600

3000/3200

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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