Saturday, June 21, 2025

Weekly Report --- June 21, 2025

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – June 21, 2025

 

This week was a funny week for grain trading with much of the US, but not all, having a holiday on Thursday and then some folks also took Friday as a day off. So, who wants to come back to work for just one day?

 

Old crop corn prices were lower on the week, down by about USD 6 m/t while new crop corn was almost unchanged on the week. New crop US soybeans were up by only USD 3 m/t with soymeal dropping by about USD 6 m/t. US winter wheat was up by close to USD 10 m/t with spring wheat up by USD 6 m/t.

 

Some hot and dry weather conditions are expected for the first part of next week but this should be followed by good rainfall in much of the grain/oilseed growing areas in the US.

 

Corn export sales were good for the week and for the marketing year corn sales to Europe are at the highest level in a long time. The USA old crop corn supply is said to be tight but the market seems to be looking to lower prices as we move into July --- at least lower for new crop corn.

 

US soybean exports weren’t as high as had been expected, at least not for new crop. But overall soybean exports are up 11% compared to last year, even with the China situation and its move to Brazilian soybeans.

 

The hot dry weather expected next week has helped to push wheat prices higher --- some reports say record high temperatures. However, weather services have very good rainfall coming right after this short hot period, so, all could be ok for wheat. Wheat export sales were below trade expectations but total yearly sales are about on target.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$25.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$34.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$35.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$35.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$36.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$34.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$37.00

Up $3.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$48.00

Up $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$47.00

Up $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$40.00

Up $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$55.00

Up $3.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$61.00

Up $3.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$38.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$33.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$51.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$38 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$25 Russia

Ukraine $21

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $26

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$19.00

Up $1.00

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$30.00

Up $1.00

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

1689

Down 279

Baltic Capesize Index

2879

Down 398

Baltic Panamax Index

1350

Down 51

Baltic Supramax Index

973

Up 37

Baltic Handisize Index

624

Up 20

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

3313

Down 351

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR July 2025/September 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 237<<256 Oct

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 245<<268 Oct   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 220<<225 Oct

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Oct

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 240<<245 Oct   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 237/240 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<240 Oct

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 215<<220 Oct      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 225/230

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 210/215

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 200<<210 Oct

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 215<<220 Oct  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 195<<205 Oct   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 200<<210 Oct

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 233/236 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 230<<240 Oct

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230>>225 Oct

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 230>>210 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 200<<220 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 190<<195 Oct

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 315<<330 Oct  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 340<<355 Oct  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 300<<315 Oct    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 300<<330 Oct 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 420 flat to Oct

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 405<<415 Oct

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430<<435 Oct

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Oct

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 585>>580 Sep

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 215>>210 Sep

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 235>>225 Sep 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Total catch in the North/Central region of Peru is now at 2.1 million m/t which leaves about 900,000 m/t to go to full quota. The trade seems to feel that the maximum catch will be at about 2.8 million m/t which would yield about 625,000 m/t of fishmeal. With 515,000 m/t or more of fishmeal sold there will not be a huge amount left for sale until the next season.

 

One trade report said that producers feel the catch will not exceed 2.5 mm/t due to the low catch --- this could make supply even tighter.

 

The drop in weekly fishing is pushing prices higher as both buyers and sellers have a better idea of how much will be available for sale. Prime and Super Prime prices didn’t move too much because there is nothing to sell but the lower quality grades have all moved quite a bit higher.

 

The trade reports say that we are now in a “bull” market for fishmeal which should push prices even higher.

 

Peru fishmeal exports to the end of May are at 541,000 m/t with 79.8% - 432,000 m/t – going to China.

 

    

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Sorry but no price updates available on Europe fishmeal this week.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1665

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2230

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1580

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1690

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2275

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1370/1390

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1420/1440

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1520/1540

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1620/1640

1640/1660

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1690/1710

1670/1690

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2400/2500

2100/2200

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3100/3200

3100/3300

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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