Sunday, June 01, 2025

Weekly Report --- May 31, 2025

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – May 31, 2025

 

It was a short work week in the USA following the Monday holiday but the market still tried to do exciting things --- probably due to the everchanging tariff situation and the possible reciprocal tariffs from major grain/oilseed importing regions. At this time what may happen with the EU and China and reciprocal tariffs are in question ---- the USA doubling of the import tariff on steel and aluminum will exacerbate the situation with both China and the EU.

 

USA new crop corn prices dropped by about USD 5 to 6 m/t this week while US soybeans were down by USD 9 m/t and soymeal was almost unchanged on the week. US winter wheat prices were lower by USD 3 or 4 m/t but US spring wheat prices increased by USD 6 m/t.

 

US spring wheat was higher this week due to quality concerns on the current crop. Trade reports feel that soymeal prices will be moving higher as a result of some harvest delays in South America. Corn was seen being push lower by the very large South American corn crops.

 

Weather in the US is seen delaying some winter wheat harvests and some corn and soybean planting but the delays should be limited and short.

 

On the export sales side of things --- corn exports last week were at a good level but soybean exports moved lower. USA corn is still the most competitive in many import markets. Wheat exports were higher than the trade expected.

 

Next week will once more be a tariff driven market unless every country is just sitting back planning what to do for July deadlines. Perhaps it will be a quiet week --- probably not as we haven’t had a quiet week since February.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Steady

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$30.00

Steady

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$30.00

Steady

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$31.00

Steady

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$32.00

Steady

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$29.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$33.00

Steady

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$46.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf China: Panamax

$45.00

Down $1.00

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$36.00

Up $1.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$27.00

Down $1.00

US PNW China: Panamax

$26.00

D0wn $1.00

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$50.00

Steady

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$56.00

Steady

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$38.00

Steady

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$40.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$50.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$51 Russia

Ukraine $65

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$35 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$24 Russia

Ukraine $19

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $26

Revised

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $25

Revised

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$19 Russia

Ukraine $29

Revised

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $26

Revised

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$34 Russia

Ukraine $50

Revised

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$15 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$18.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$29.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1418

Up 78

Baltic Capesize Index

2277

Up 377

Baltic Panamax Index

1119

Down 127

Baltic Supramax Index

951

Down 32

Baltic Handisize Index

601

Up 20

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2307

Up 49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR June 2025/August 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 222>>241 Oct

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 235<<259 Oct   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>220 Oct

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 245>>230 Oct

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 250>>235 Oct   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 226/229 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 225<<235 Oct

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 225>>220 Oct      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 220/235

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 210>>205 Oct

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 220>>215 Oct  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 200<<205 Oct   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 205<<210 Oct

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 227/230 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 230>>215 Oct

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<235 Oct

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 240>>215 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 210<<230 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 200<<205 Oct

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 315<<340 Oct  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 340<<365 Oct  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 315<<340 Oct    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

No prices

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 310<<340 Oct 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 410 steady to Oct

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 390<<400 Oct

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 410<<430 Oct

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 400<<420 Oct

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 595>>590 Sep

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 205>>200 Sep

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 230>>225 Sep 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing in the south of Peru has dropped to almost nothing in the past week --- total landed is now at 194,800 with 56,200 remaining on the quota. Fishing in the North/Central region is also lower this week due to bad weather and fishing bans. The total North/Central catch is now at 1.69 million m/t which shows 1.31 mm/t on the quota.

 

The juvenile level in the North/Central catch is still quite high so more mini bans are to be expected.

 

The price spread between super prime/prime and other grades is widening as demand has covered almost all of the higher grade production. Total estimated sales are now at about 500,000 m/t which is almost 75% of total production if the full quota is landed.

 

Peru’s fishmeal exports in 2025, January to April, are at 513,000 m/t which is up by 83% from last year’s lower catch shipments. Shipments to Asia are at 88% with 9% going to Europe. China’s imports of fishmeal are up by 11.5% January to April 2025, to 624,500 m/t, with 50.2% (313,000 m/t) coming from Peru. All statistics are from the MSI Ceres weekly report.

 

The weather in North/Central Peru is getting worse for fishing and the mini bans make forecasting difficult. Everyone has their fingers crossed that June will be a decent fishing month and that we will reach full quota.

 

   

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1670

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2230

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1580

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1690

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2275

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1320/1340

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1380/1400

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1520/1540

1550/1570

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1570/1590

1600/1620

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1620/1640

1630/1650

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2500/2600

2500/2600

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3500/3600

3000/3200

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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