Saturday, June 28, 2025

Weekly Report --- June 28, 2025

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

St Remy De Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT – June 28, 2025

 

Prices for corn and soybeans moved lower this week with corn down by about USD 6 m/t while soybeans dropped by almost USD 15 m/t and soymeal down by USD 10 m/t. USA wheat also moved lower with winter wheat down by just over USD 15 m/t and US spring wheat down by USD 10 m/t.

 

Next Monday the USDA will release its latest Acreage and Stocks report and with the markets selling off most of this week it looks like the market is expecting bearish numbers. However, Friday was a strong day for prices as buyers were taking advantage of the low prices but the week still finished with prices lower.

 

Weather reports in the USA make it look good for rainfall in quite a bit of the corn belt but there is worry about the very high temperatures that are being seen in the USA and the possible effect on early corn and soybean growth. Rain and warm temperatures are good for the crops just not too much rain or too high temperatures.

 

Looking at prices out a bit --- corn still looks to be bearish as do soybeans and soymeal ---- just too much available in world markets. Wheat prices are not so certain and seem to be working in a wide price range for now.

 

Have a great week and enjoy the heat wave that is seen in many places in the world this week.

   

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$23.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$23.00

Down $2.00

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$33.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$33.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$34.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$34.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$35.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$34.00

Steady

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$36.00

Down $1.00

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

US Gulf India : Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

US Gulf China: Panamax

$47.00

Steady

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$38.00

Down $2.00

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Steady

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Steady

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$54.00

Down $1.00

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$60.00

Down $1.00

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$33.00

Steady

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$70.00

Steady

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

France/Germany to Jordan: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$32.00

Steady

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$36.00

Steady

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to China: Panamax

$39.00

Up $2.00

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$40.00

Up #2.00

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$45.00

Steady

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$46.00

Steady

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$62.00

Steady

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$53.00

Steady

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$36.00

Steady

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$46.00

Steady

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$42.00

Steady

Brazil to China: Panamax

$35.00

Up $2.00

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$36.00

Up $2.00

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$41.00

Steady

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$37.00

Steady

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$41.00

Steady

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$51.00

Steady

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$43.00

Steady

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$38 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$52 Russia

Ukraine $64

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $34

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$13 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$40 Russia

Ukraine $61

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$28 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to East Spain -- Panamax

$25 Russia

Ukraine $21

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$19 Russia

Ukraine $27

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$18 Russia

Ukraine $29

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$20 Russia

Ukraine $28

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$38 Russia

Ukraine $50

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$12 Russia

Ukraine $24

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55 Russia

 

Black Sea to Nigeria – Handi

 

Ukraine $45

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$19.00

Steady

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$30.00

Steady

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

No info

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

40% Capesize, 30% Panamax, 30% Supermax

1521

Down 168

Baltic Capesize Index

2220

Down 659

Baltic Panamax Index

1490

Up 140

Baltic Supramax Index

1009

Up 36

Baltic Handisize Index

636

Up 12

 

 

 

Freightos/Baltic Container Index

2842

Down 471

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR July 2025/September 2025

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 220<<235 Oct

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 225<<250 Oct   

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 220<<225 Oct

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<230 Oct

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 230<<240 Oct   

   Wheat, Superior, France

USD 227/230 spot      

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 230<<235 Oct

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 210<<215 Oct      

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 215/220

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 220/225

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 200/205

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 250/255

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 195<<205 Oct

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 200<<215 Oct  

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 195<<200 Oct   

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 195<<205 Oct

   Corn, FOB France

 USD 235/238 Spot

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 245<<250 Oct

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 230<<240 Oct

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 225<<235 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 190<<210 Oct

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 180<<185 Oct

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 305<<320 Oct  

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 330<<345 Oct  

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 285<<310 Oct    

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 290<<315 Oct 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 405<<410 Oct

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 395<<410 Oct

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 425<<435 Oct

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 410<<420 Oct

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 580<<585 Oct

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 205>>200 Oct

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 220>>215 Oct 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

Fishing remains low in the North/Central region with the total to date now up to 2.2 million m/t, which leaves just about 800,000 m/t on the quota. The new quota for the Southern region was announced at 251,000 m/t from July 01 to December 31, 2025. The closing South quota looks to be at 196,000 m/t out of the old quota of 251,000 m/t --- 46,600 m/t of fishmeal estimated to have been produced.

 

North/Central fishmeal production to date is estimated to be at 495,000 m/t with existing sales at a forecasted 520,000 m/t.

 

Fishmeal prices in both China and Europe have moved higher as prices from Preu and Chile have firmed in the past couple of weeks.

 

Trade reports still feel that the North/Central catch will reach only about 2.8 mm/t but there have been a few worries expressed that the total could be lower or that the fishing could be stopped if spawning starts early.

 

Also, this Sunday is Fishermen’s Day in Peru as informed by MSI Ceres who added that they are grateful to all the fishermen in Peru and their efforts. Being a fisherman is not an easy job --- tough difficult and dangerous.

 

 

     

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

$1686

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

$2335

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

$1650

Chile fishmeal

67% protein

$1780

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

$2390

 

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1420/1440

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1510/1530

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1570/1590

No prices

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1630/1650

1620/1640

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1670/1690

1640/1660

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk – feed grade

2400/2500

2100/2200

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

3000/3400

3100/3300

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2025 Wayne S. Bacon

 

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